

In today’s brief post, I want to show some early indications of how countries are coalescing into one of two sides or remaining neutral. The table below is derived from watching their actions.

embargoing Japan’s oil imports so they would run out and freezing Japanese financial assets) pushed Japan into the position of either submitting or fighting, which led to the attack on Pearl Harbor that brought the US into the military war.

For example, America’s sanctions on Japan (e.g. History teaches, and what is now happening shows, that in struggles and wars for the control of the world order, countries typically align into opposing sides (e.g., the "allied" and the "axis" countries in WWII) or remain neutral. That happened on a worldwide basis in the first half of the 20th century and was especially true in WWII as the West and the East became more interconnected. We are now beginning to see emerge a similar squaring off into alliances. As explained in the WWII example from my book, economic stresses and conflicts (i.e., economic sanctions) between nations can become progressively more intense to the point of being intolerable, which prompts military wars. There are too many dimensions to what is now happening and too many analogous cases of these things having happened in history to cover in any single post, so I will share them bit by bit in a series of posts relating what’s happening today to the patterns of history I describe in my book Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order. In this post, I want to pass along what I'm seeing about the sides coalescing in a fight for control of the world order.
